Primeira Liga Predictions
| Home team Away team | 1X2 Probability | Pred | Correct Score | Avg. Goals | Goals | BTTS | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sporting Clube de Braga Gil Vicente Oct 19, 8:15 PM |
Home 41.2%Draw 36.5%Away 22.3% |
1 | 1-0 | 2.06 | Under 2.5 66.1% | 42% | - |
Vitória SC CS Marítimo Oct 23, 8:45 PM |
Home 41.6%Draw 37.6%Away 20.7% |
1 | 1-0 | 1.93 | Under 2.5 69.7% | 39% | - |
CF Estrela da Amadora Casa Pia AC Oct 24, 3:30 PM |
Home 54.6%Draw 28.7%Away 16.7% |
1 | 2-1 | 2.75 | Over 1.5 78.1% | 52% | - |
FC Alverca FC Arouca Oct 24, 6:00 PM |
Home 48.9%Draw 30.4%Away 20.6% |
1 | 2-1 | 2.70 | Over 1.5 77.4% | 54% | - |
Gil Vicente FC Porto Oct 24, 8:30 PM |
Home 20.5%Draw 31.5%Away 48.0% |
2 | 1-2 | 2.55 | Over 1.5 74.7% | 51% | - |
GD Estoril Praia Moreirense Oct 25, 4:30 PM |
Home 31.9%Draw 34.5%Away 33.7% |
X | 1-1 | 2.38 | Over 1.5 71.4% | 51% | - |
Rio Ave FC Famalicão Oct 25, 7:00 PM |
Home 16.9%Draw 20.5%Away 62.5% |
2 | 1-2 | 4.41 | Over 2.5 81.0% | 74% | - |
CD Nacional Sporting Clube de Braga Oct 25, 7:00 PM |
Home 17.0%Draw 23.0%Away 60.0% |
2 | 1-2 | 3.77 | Over 2.5 72.2% | 67% | - |
Sporting Clube de Portugal Académico de Viseu Oct 25, 9:30 PM |
Home 52.5%Draw 24.6%Away 22.9% |
1 | 2-1 | 3.85 | Over 2.5 73.5% | 72% | - |
CD Santa Clara Sport Lisboa e Benfica Oct 26, 7:45 PM |
Home 23.9%Draw 31.3%Away 44.8% |
2 | 1-2 | 2.68 | Over 1.5 77.2% | 55% | - |
Casa Pia AC Sporting Clube de Portugal Oct 30, 9:15 PM |
Home 1.3%Draw 5.8%Away 93.0% |
2 | 0-4 | 5.26 | Over 2.5 86.8% | 39% | - |
Moreirense CF Estrela da Amadora Oct 31, 4:30 PM |
Home 33.3%Draw 24.2%Away 42.5% |
2 | 1-2 | 4.33 | Over 2.5 80.4% | 79% | - |
FC Porto GD Estoril Praia Oct 31, 9:30 PM |
Home 82.7%Draw 13.2%Away 4.1% |
1 | 3-0 | 3.91 | Over 2.5 73.6% | 44% | - |
FC Arouca CD Nacional Nov 1, 4:30 PM |
Home 78.6%Draw 15.0%Away 6.4% |
1 | 3-1 | 4.13 | Over 2.5 76.8% | 55% | - |
CS Marítimo CD Santa Clara Nov 1, 7:00 PM |
Home 12.3%Draw 26.3%Away 61.4% |
2 | 0-2 | 2.77 | Over 1.5 78.3% | 47% | - |
Académico de Viseu Rio Ave Nov 1, 7:00 PM |
Home 57.3%Draw 25.9%Away 16.8% |
1 | 2-1 | 3.19 | Over 2.5 61.4% | 59% | - |
Sporting Clube de Braga FC Famalicão Nov 1, 9:30 PM |
Home 37.1%Draw 29.5%Away 33.4% |
1 | 2-1 | 3.14 | Over 2.5 60.5% | 65% | - |
Sport Lisboa e Benfica FC Alverca Nov 2, 9:15 PM |
Home 68.0%Draw 17.8%Away 14.2% |
1 | 3-1 | 4.92 | Over 2.5 86.0% | 76% | - |
Gil Vicente Vitória SC Nov 2, 9:15 PM |
Home 51.8%Draw 33.1%Away 15.1% |
1 | 2-0 | 2.17 | Over 1.5 65.9% | 40% | - |
FC Famalicão FC Arouca Nov 6, 9:45 PM |
Home 33.4%Draw 33.3%Away 33.3% |
1 | 2-1 | 2.54 | Over 1.5 74.6% | 54% | - |
CD Nacional Académico de Viseu Nov 7, 4:30 PM |
Home 8.2%Draw 14.8%Away 77.1% |
2 | 1-3 | 4.70 | Over 2.5 83.5% | 65% | - |
FC Alverca Casa Pia AC Nov 7, 7:00 PM |
Home 61.0%Draw 28.0%Away 11.0% |
1 | 2-0 | 2.47 | Over 1.5 72.5% | 41% | - |
Sporting Clube de Portugal Moreirense Nov 7, 9:30 PM |
Home 83.4%Draw 12.2%Away 4.5% |
1 | 3-1 | 4.40 | Over 2.5 79.9% | 51% | - |
GD Estoril Praia CS Marítimo Nov 8, 4:30 PM |
Home 33.0%Draw 32.6%Away 34.4% |
2 | 1-2 | 2.63 | Over 1.5 76.4% | 56% | - |
CD Santa Clara Gil Vicente Nov 8, 4:30 PM |
Home 55.1%Draw 33.9%Away 11.0% |
1 | 1-0 | 1.92 | Under 2.5 70.1% | 31% | - |
Vitória SC FC Porto Nov 8, 7:00 PM |
Home 10.5%Draw 28.1%Away 61.4% |
2 | 0-2 | 2.42 | Over 1.5 71.3% | 39% | - |
Rio Ave Sporting Clube de Braga Nov 8, 9:30 PM |
Home 20.8%Draw 23.2%Away 56.0% |
2 | 1-2 | 4.05 | Over 2.5 76.5% | 73% | - |
CF Estrela da Amadora Sport Lisboa e Benfica Nov 8, 9:30 PM |
Home 5.1%Draw 10.6%Away 84.3% |
2 | 1-4 | 5.35 | Over 2.5 88.5% | 64% | - |
| Home team Away team | 1X2 Probability | Pred | Correct Score | Avg. Goals | Goals | BTTS | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FC Famalicão FC Alverca Oct 12, 8:15 PM |
Home 49.6%Draw 29.1%Away 21.3% |
1 | 1-0 | 2.33 | Over 1.5 69.0% | 46% | 1-4 |
FC Arouca CF Estrela da Amadora Oct 11, 8:30 PM |
Home 60.0%Draw 18.7%Away 21.2% |
1 | 2-1 | 4.45 | Over 2.5 81.6% | 76% | 1-0 |
Sport Lisboa e Benfica Vitória SC Oct 11, 6:00 PM |
Home 88.8%Draw 8.4%Away 2.8% |
1 | 3-0 | 4.08 | Over 2.5 75.7% | 42% | 2-0 |
Rio Ave CD Nacional Oct 11, 3:30 PM |
Home 29.9%Draw 29.0%Away 41.1% |
2 | 0-1 | 2.56 | Over 1.5 73.6% | 53% | 3-2 |
Académico de Viseu GD Estoril Praia Oct 10, 8:30 PM |
Home 43.6%Draw 35.2%Away 21.2% |
1 | 1-0 | 1.72 | Under 2.5 75.1% | 33% | 2-1 |
CS Marítimo FC Porto Oct 10, 6:00 PM |
Home 4.0%Draw 11.5%Away 84.5% |
2 | 0-2 | 3.53 | Over 2.5 67.4% | 41% | 1-2 |
Casa Pia AC CD Santa Clara Oct 10, 3:30 PM |
Home 3.0%Draw 13.8%Away 83.1% |
2 | 0-2 | 2.73 | Over 1.5 75.9% | 26% | 0-1 |
Sporting Clube de Braga* Sporting Clube de Portugal Oct 9, 8:15 PM |
Home 24.7%Draw 28.6%Away 46.7% |
2 | 0-1 | 2.49 | Over 1.5 72.4% | 51% | 1-3 |
| Team | Prob.% | Pred | Score | O/U | BTTS | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC FamalicãoFC AlvercaOct 12, 8:15 PM | 5021 |
1 | 1-0 | Over 1.5 | 46% | 1-4 |
| FC AroucaEstrela AmadoraOct 11, 8:30 PM | 6021 |
1 | 2-1 | Over 2.5 | 76% | 1-0 |
| BenficaVitória SCOct 11, 6:00 PM | 893 |
1 | 3-0 | Over 2.5 | 42% | 2-0 |
| Rio AveCD NacionalOct 11, 3:30 PM | 3041 |
2 | 0-1 | Over 1.5 | 53% | 3-2 |
| Académico de ViseuGD Estoril PraiaOct 10, 8:30 PM | 4421 |
1 | 1-0 | Under 2.5 | 33% | 2-1 |
| CS MarítimoFC PortoOct 10, 6:00 PM | 484 |
2 | 0-2 | Over 2.5 | 41% | 1-2 |
| Casa Pia ACCD Santa ClaraOct 10, 3:30 PM | 383 |
2 | 0-2 | Over 1.5 | 26% | 0-1 |
| Braga*Sporting CPOct 9, 8:15 PM | 2547 |
2 | 0-1 | Over 1.5 | 51% | 1-3 |
The Primeira Liga is Portugal's top division: 18 clubs play 34 matches each.
How we predict Primeira Liga matches
Every Primeira Liga prediction on this page comes from a Poisson model, not guesswork. For each team we measure goals scored and conceded at home and away, compare them with the league's averages to get attack and defence strengths, and turn those into expected goals for the specific fixture. The Poisson formula then gives the probability of every realistic scoreline, which is where the home/draw/away percentages, over/under goals, both teams to score and the most likely correct score come from. The full method is explained on our methodology page.
Our Primeira Liga record so far
We grade every prediction against the real result. Across the 46 Primeira Liga matches we have predicted and graded so far:
- Our home/draw/away pick was right in 54% of 46 matches.
- Our over/under goals pick was right in 59% of 46 matches.
- Our both teams to score pick was right in 57% of 46 matches.
Primeira Liga goal trends
In those 46 matches there were 2.61 goals per game on average. 52% went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in 50%. The home side won 39%, 24% were draws and the away side won 37%.
Questions
Are these Primeira Liga predictions free?
Yes. Every prediction on the site is free to read, with no sign-up.
How often are the Primeira Liga predictions updated?
Several times a day. New fixtures are added as they are scheduled, and every result is graded once the match is played.
Can I rely on them for betting?
They are honest statistical probabilities, not guarantees. Football is unpredictable, so treat them as informed context, and never stake more than you can afford to lose.