NPFL Predictions

Home team
Away team
1X2 ProbabilityPredCorrect ScoreAvg. GoalsGoalsBTTSScore
Sporting Lagos
Enugu Rangers
Oct 24, 4:00 PM
Home 24.5%Draw 27.4%Away 48.1%
2 1-2 3.35 Over 2.5 64.8% 66% -
Warri Wolves
Kano Pillars
Oct 25, 4:00 PM
Home 57.0%Draw 28.8%Away 14.3%
1 2-0 2.59 Over 1.5 75.2% 47% -
Ranchers Bees
Doma United
Oct 25, 4:00 PM
Home 68.0%Draw 23.6%Away 8.3%
1 2-0 2.76 Over 1.5 77.6% 41% -
Nasarawa United
Enyimba
Oct 25, 4:00 PM
Home 64.4%Draw 26.1%Away 9.5%
1 2-0 2.57 Over 1.5 74.2% 40% -
Kun Khalifat
Inter Lagos
Oct 25, 4:00 PM
Home 49.1%Draw 29.0%Away 21.9%
1 2-1 2.96 Over 1.5 81.6% 59% -
Katsina United
Plateau United
Oct 25, 4:00 PM
Home 59.7%Draw 24.0%Away 16.3%
1 2-1 3.51 Over 2.5 67.6% 63% -
Ikorodu City
Shooting Stars
Oct 25, 4:00 PM
Home 76.5%Draw 17.7%Away 5.7%
1 3-0 3.32 Over 2.5 63.7% 42% -
Bendel Insurance
Rivers United
Oct 25, 4:00 PM
Home 50.3%Draw 29.2%Away 20.5%
1 2-1 2.87 Over 1.5 80.3% 57% -
Barau
Kwara United
Oct 25, 4:00 PM
Home 72.3%Draw 21.6%Away 6.1%
1 2-0 2.76 Over 1.5 77.4% 35% -
Abia Warriors
Niger Tornadoes
Oct 25, 4:00 PM
Home 53.5%Draw 32.7%Away 13.8%
1 2-0 2.14 Over 1.5 65.3% 38% -
Doma United
Ikorodu City
Oct 31, 4:00 PM
Home 57.1%Draw 28.0%Away 14.9%
1 2-0 2.73 Over 1.5 77.7% 50% -
Shooting Stars
Abia Warriors
Nov 1, 4:00 PM
Home 63.8%Draw 25.3%Away 10.9%
1 2-0 2.79 Over 1.5 78.5% 46% -
Rivers United
Enugu Rangers
Nov 1, 4:00 PM
Home 73.2%Draw 19.2%Away 7.6%
1 3-0 3.38 Over 2.5 65.0% 48% -
Plateau United
Warri Wolves
Nov 1, 4:00 PM
Home 75.1%Draw 20.5%Away 4.4%
1 2-0 2.64 Over 1.5 75.0% 28% -
Niger Tornadoes
Barau
Nov 1, 4:00 PM
Home 49.7%Draw 35.1%Away 15.3%
1 1-0 1.99 Under 2.5 67.9% 37% -
Kwara United
Bendel Insurance
Nov 1, 4:00 PM
Home 67.4%Draw 21.3%Away 11.3%
1 2-1 3.52 Over 2.5 67.7% 57% -
Katsina United
Sporting Lagos
Nov 1, 4:00 PM
Home 37.0%Draw 25.7%Away 37.3%
2 1-2 3.99 Over 2.5 75.7% 76% -
Kano Pillars
Nasarawa United
Nov 1, 4:00 PM
Home 59.7%Draw 24.0%Away 16.3%
1 2-1 3.51 Over 2.5 67.6% 63% -
Inter Lagos
Ranchers Bees
Nov 1, 4:00 PM
Home 36.0%Draw 29.4%Away 34.6%
1 2-1 3.15 Over 2.5 60.9% 65% -
Enyimba
Kun Khalifat
Nov 1, 4:00 PM
Home 62.8%Draw 21.3%Away 15.9%
1 2-1 4.07 Over 2.5 76.7% 69% -
Sporting Lagos
Rivers United
Nov 7, 4:00 PM
Home 28.7%Draw 40.5%Away 30.8%
X 0-0 1.77 Under 2.5 73.9% 37% -
Warri Wolves
Katsina United
Nov 8, 4:00 PM
Home 60.4%Draw 28.3%Away 11.2%
1 2-0 2.44 Over 1.5 72.0% 40% -
Enugu Rangers
Kwara United
Nov 8, 4:00 PM
Home 65.9%Draw 27.1%Away 7.0%
1 2-0 2.23 Over 1.5 66.7% 29% -
Ranchers Bees
Enyimba
Nov 8, 4:00 PM
Home 68.0%Draw 23.6%Away 8.3%
1 2-0 2.76 Over 1.5 77.6% 41% -
Nasarawa United
Plateau United
Nov 8, 4:00 PM
Home 61.3%Draw 28.2%Away 10.5%
1 2-0 2.41 Over 1.5 71.2% 39% -
Kun Khalifat
Kano Pillars
Nov 8, 4:00 PM
Home 49.1%Draw 29.0%Away 21.9%
1 2-1 2.96 Over 1.5 81.6% 59% -
Ikorodu City
Inter Lagos
Nov 8, 4:00 PM
Home 68.3%Draw 23.5%Away 8.2%
1 2-0 2.78 Over 1.5 77.9% 41% -
Bendel Insurance
Niger Tornadoes
Nov 8, 4:00 PM
Home 64.7%Draw 21.9%Away 13.4%
1 2-1 3.64 Over 2.5 70.0% 62% -
Barau
Shooting Stars
Nov 8, 4:00 PM
Home 74.7%Draw 16.0%Away 9.3%
1 3-1 4.55 Over 2.5 82.1% 66% -
Abia Warriors
Doma United
Nov 8, 4:00 PM
Home 60.1%Draw 26.9%Away 13.0%
1 2-0 2.75 Over 1.5 77.8% 48% -
Doma United
Barau
Nov 14, 4:00 PM
Home 57.1%Draw 29.8%Away 13.1%
1 2-0 2.41 Over 1.5 71.2% 42% -
Warri Wolves
Sporting Lagos
Nov 15, 4:00 PM
Home 38.1%Draw 30.9%Away 31.0%
1 2-1 2.88 Over 1.5 80.5% 60% -
Shooting Stars
Bendel Insurance
Nov 15, 4:00 PM
Home 67.2%Draw 24.6%Away 8.2%
1 2-0 2.62 Over 1.5 75.1% 38% -
Plateau United
Kun Khalifat
Nov 15, 4:00 PM
Home 83.0%Draw 13.4%Away 3.6%
1 3-0 3.70 Over 2.5 70.1% 39% -
Niger Tornadoes
Enugu Rangers
Nov 15, 4:00 PM
Home 37.8%Draw 31.0%Away 31.2%
1 2-1 2.87 Over 1.5 80.3% 60% -
Kwara United
Rivers United
Nov 15, 4:00 PM
Home 43.4%Draw 33.9%Away 22.7%
1 2-0 2.33 Over 1.5 70.1% 48% -
Katsina United
Nasarawa United
Nov 15, 4:00 PM
Home 59.7%Draw 24.0%Away 16.3%
1 2-1 3.51 Over 2.5 67.6% 63% -
Kano Pillars
Ranchers Bees
Nov 15, 4:00 PM
Home 67.7%Draw 19.6%Away 12.7%
1 2-1 4.11 Over 2.5 77.1% 67% -
Inter Lagos
Abia Warriors
Nov 15, 4:00 PM
Home 31.9%Draw 30.4%Away 37.7%
2 1-2 2.97 Over 1.5 81.8% 62% -
Enyimba
Ikorodu City
Nov 15, 4:00 PM
Home 49.2%Draw 25.8%Away 25.0%
1 2-1 3.67 Over 2.5 70.7% 70% -
TeamProb.%PredScoreO/UBTTSResult
Sporting LagosEnugu RangersOct 24, 4:00 PM
2448
2 1-2 Over 2.5 66% -
Warri WolvesKano PillarsOct 25, 4:00 PM
5714
1 2-0 Over 1.5 47% -
Ranchers BeesDoma UnitedOct 25, 4:00 PM
688
1 2-0 Over 1.5 41% -
Nasarawa UnitedEnyimbaOct 25, 4:00 PM
6410
1 2-0 Over 1.5 40% -
Kun KhalifatInter LagosOct 25, 4:00 PM
4922
1 2-1 Over 1.5 59% -
Katsina UnitedPlateau UnitedOct 25, 4:00 PM
6016
1 2-1 Over 2.5 63% -
Ikorodu CityShooting StarsOct 25, 4:00 PM
766
1 3-0 Over 2.5 42% -
Bendel InsuranceRivers UnitedOct 25, 4:00 PM
5020
1 2-1 Over 1.5 57% -
BarauKwara UnitedOct 25, 4:00 PM
726
1 2-0 Over 1.5 35% -
Abia WarriorsNiger TornadoesOct 25, 4:00 PM
5414
1 2-0 Over 1.5 38% -
Doma UnitedIkorodu CityOct 31, 4:00 PM
5715
1 2-0 Over 1.5 50% -
Shooting StarsAbia WarriorsNov 1, 4:00 PM
6411
1 2-0 Over 1.5 46% -
Rivers UnitedEnugu RangersNov 1, 4:00 PM
738
1 3-0 Over 2.5 48% -
Plateau UnitedWarri WolvesNov 1, 4:00 PM
754
1 2-0 Over 1.5 28% -
Niger TornadoesBarauNov 1, 4:00 PM
5015
1 1-0 Under 2.5 37% -
Kwara UnitedBendel InsuranceNov 1, 4:00 PM
6711
1 2-1 Over 2.5 57% -
Katsina UnitedSporting LagosNov 1, 4:00 PM
3737
2 1-2 Over 2.5 76% -
Kano PillarsNasarawa UnitedNov 1, 4:00 PM
6016
1 2-1 Over 2.5 63% -
Inter LagosRanchers BeesNov 1, 4:00 PM
3635
1 2-1 Over 2.5 65% -
EnyimbaKun KhalifatNov 1, 4:00 PM
6316
1 2-1 Over 2.5 69% -
Sporting LagosRivers UnitedNov 7, 4:00 PM
2931
X 0-0 Under 2.5 37% -
Warri WolvesKatsina UnitedNov 8, 4:00 PM
6011
1 2-0 Over 1.5 40% -
Enugu RangersKwara UnitedNov 8, 4:00 PM
667
1 2-0 Over 1.5 29% -
Ranchers BeesEnyimbaNov 8, 4:00 PM
688
1 2-0 Over 1.5 41% -
Nasarawa UnitedPlateau UnitedNov 8, 4:00 PM
6110
1 2-0 Over 1.5 39% -
Kun KhalifatKano PillarsNov 8, 4:00 PM
4922
1 2-1 Over 1.5 59% -
Ikorodu CityInter LagosNov 8, 4:00 PM
688
1 2-0 Over 1.5 41% -
Bendel InsuranceNiger TornadoesNov 8, 4:00 PM
6513
1 2-1 Over 2.5 62% -
BarauShooting StarsNov 8, 4:00 PM
759
1 3-1 Over 2.5 66% -
Abia WarriorsDoma UnitedNov 8, 4:00 PM
6013
1 2-0 Over 1.5 48% -
Doma UnitedBarauNov 14, 4:00 PM
5713
1 2-0 Over 1.5 42% -
Warri WolvesSporting LagosNov 15, 4:00 PM
3831
1 2-1 Over 1.5 60% -
Shooting StarsBendel InsuranceNov 15, 4:00 PM
678
1 2-0 Over 1.5 38% -
Plateau UnitedKun KhalifatNov 15, 4:00 PM
834
1 3-0 Over 2.5 39% -
Niger TornadoesEnugu RangersNov 15, 4:00 PM
3831
1 2-1 Over 1.5 60% -
Kwara UnitedRivers UnitedNov 15, 4:00 PM
4323
1 2-0 Over 1.5 48% -
Katsina UnitedNasarawa UnitedNov 15, 4:00 PM
6016
1 2-1 Over 2.5 63% -
Kano PillarsRanchers BeesNov 15, 4:00 PM
6813
1 2-1 Over 2.5 67% -
Inter LagosAbia WarriorsNov 15, 4:00 PM
3238
2 1-2 Over 1.5 62% -
EnyimbaIkorodu CityNov 15, 4:00 PM
4925
1 2-1 Over 2.5 70% -
Home team
Away team
1X2 ProbabilityPredCorrect ScoreAvg. GoalsGoalsBTTSScore
Plateau United*
Sporting Lagos
Oct 18, 4:00 PM
Home 43.9%Draw 30.2%Away 26.0%
1 1-0 2.33 Over 1.5 68.8% 48% 2-3
Inter Lagos
Nasarawa United
Oct 18, 4:00 PM
Home 32.3%Draw 29.0%Away 38.7%
2 0-1 2.58 Over 1.5 74.1% 54% 0-2
Rivers United*
Barau
Oct 18, 4:00 PM
Home 62.8%Draw 31.8%Away 5.4%
1 1-0 1.41 Under 2.5 83.2% 13% 0-0
Niger Tornadoes*
Ikorodu City
Oct 18, 4:00 PM
Home 49.5%Draw 33.4%Away 17.1%
1 1-0 1.76 Under 2.5 74.0% 32% 2-1
Kano Pillars*
Katsina United
Oct 18, 4:00 PM
Home 67.9%Draw 25.0%Away 7.2%
1 1-0 1.97 Under 2.5 68.5% 25% 1-0
Enyimba*
Warri Wolves
Oct 18, 4:00 PM
Home 59.6%Draw 29.8%Away 10.5%
1 1-0 1.80 Under 2.5 73.3% 27% 0-0
Doma United
Kun Khalifat
Oct 17, 4:00 PM
Home 76.6%Draw 16.2%Away 7.2%
1 2-0 3.22 Over 2.5 61.8% 46% 1-1
Kun Khalifat*
Shooting Stars
Oct 11, 4:00 PM
Home 50.3%Draw 34.8%Away 14.9%
1 1-0 1.60 Under 2.5 78.2% 27% 2-0
TeamProb.%PredScoreO/UBTTSResult
Plateau United*Sporting LagosOct 18, 4:00 PM
4426
1 1-0 Over 1.5 48% 2-3
Inter LagosNasarawa UnitedOct 18, 4:00 PM
3239
2 0-1 Over 1.5 54% 0-2
Rivers United*BarauOct 18, 4:00 PM
635
1 1-0 Under 2.5 13% 0-0
Niger Tornadoes*Ikorodu CityOct 18, 4:00 PM
5017
1 1-0 Under 2.5 32% 2-1
Kano Pillars*Katsina UnitedOct 18, 4:00 PM
687
1 1-0 Under 2.5 25% 1-0
Enyimba*Warri WolvesOct 18, 4:00 PM
6010
1 1-0 Under 2.5 27% 0-0
Doma UnitedKun KhalifatOct 17, 4:00 PM
777
1 2-0 Over 2.5 46% 1-1
Kun Khalifat*Shooting StarsOct 11, 4:00 PM
5015
1 1-0 Under 2.5 27% 2-0

The Nigeria Premier Football League (NPFL) is Nigeria's top professional league.

How we predict NPFL matches

Every NPFL prediction on this page comes from a Poisson model, not guesswork. For each team we measure goals scored and conceded at home and away, compare them with the league's averages to get attack and defence strengths, and turn those into expected goals for the specific fixture. The Poisson formula then gives the probability of every realistic scoreline, which is where the home/draw/away percentages, over/under goals, both teams to score and the most likely correct score come from. The full method is explained on our methodology page.

Our NPFL record so far

We grade every prediction against the real result. Across the 39 NPFL matches we have predicted and graded so far:

  • Our home/draw/away pick was right in 62% of 39 matches.
  • Our over/under goals pick was right in 67% of 39 matches.
  • Our both teams to score pick was right in 62% of 39 matches.

NPFL goal trends

In those 39 matches there were 2.15 goals per game on average. 33% went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in 38%. The home side won 59%, 33% were draws and the away side won 8%.

Questions

Are these NPFL predictions free?

Yes. Every prediction on the site is free to read, with no sign-up.

How often are the NPFL predictions updated?

Several times a day. New fixtures are added as they are scheduled, and every result is graded once the match is played.

Can I rely on them for betting?

They are honest statistical probabilities, not guarantees. Football is unpredictable, so treat them as informed context, and never stake more than you can afford to lose.