AFCON Predictions
| Home team Away team | 1X2 Probability | Pred | Correct Score | Avg. Goals | Goals | BTTS | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Zambia* Burundi Nov 11, 6:00 PM |
Home 54.9%Draw 23.7%Away 21.3% |
1 | 2-1 | 3.95 | Over 2.5 75.1% | 72% | - |
Uganda* Botswana Nov 11, 6:00 PM |
Home 37.4%Draw 37.3%Away 25.2% |
1 | 1-0 | 2.03 | Under 2.5 67.1% | 43% | - |
Tunisia* Libya Nov 11, 6:00 PM |
Home 31.6%Draw 39.5%Away 28.9% |
X | 0-0 | 1.85 | Under 2.5 71.7% | 39% | - |
South Africa* Kenya Nov 11, 6:00 PM |
Home 68.0%Draw 18.0%Away 14.0% |
1 | 3-1 | 4.82 | Over 2.5 85.2% | 75% | - |
Senegal* Sudan Nov 11, 6:00 PM |
Home 74.1%Draw 18.5%Away 7.4% |
1 | 3-0 | 3.49 | Over 2.5 66.9% | 49% | - |
Nigeria* Tanzania Nov 11, 6:00 PM |
Home 38.0%Draw 32.3%Away 29.7% |
1 | 2-1 | 2.66 | Over 1.5 76.7% | 56% | - |
Mozambique* Ethiopia Nov 11, 6:00 PM |
Home 49.5%Draw 29.7%Away 20.8% |
1 | 2-1 | 2.81 | Over 1.5 79.2% | 56% | - |
Morocco* Niger Nov 11, 6:00 PM |
Home 86.4%Draw 10.1%Away 3.5% |
1 | 4-1 | 4.76 | Over 2.5 83.5% | 51% | - |
Mali* Rwanda Nov 11, 6:00 PM |
Home 48.3%Draw 30.3%Away 21.5% |
1 | 2-1 | 2.76 | Over 1.5 78.3% | 55% | - |
Madagascar* Guinea-Bissau Nov 11, 6:00 PM |
Home 40.6%Draw 29.7%Away 29.7% |
1 | 2-1 | 3.06 | Over 1.5 83.1% | 63% | - |
Ivory Coast* Gambia Nov 11, 6:00 PM |
Home 52.2%Draw 28.4%Away 19.4% |
1 | 2-1 | 2.94 | Over 1.5 81.1% | 57% | - |
Guinea* Eritrea Nov 11, 6:00 PM |
Home 49.3%Draw 27.3%Away 23.4% |
1 | 2-1 | 3.31 | Over 2.5 64.0% | 65% | - |
Ghana* Somalia Nov 11, 6:00 PM |
Home 32.2%Draw 33.3%Away 34.6% |
2 | 1-2 | 2.54 | Over 1.5 74.6% | 54% | - |
Gabon* Lesotho Nov 11, 6:00 PM |
Home 61.9%Draw 22.8%Away 15.2% |
1 | 2-1 | 3.65 | Over 2.5 70.2% | 64% | - |
Equatorial Guinea* Zimbabwe Nov 11, 6:00 PM |
Home 31.5%Draw 39.9%Away 28.6% |
X | 0-0 | 1.82 | Under 2.5 72.7% | 38% | - |
Egypt* Malawi Nov 11, 6:00 PM |
Home 80.5%Draw 15.0%Away 4.5% |
1 | 3-0 | 3.58 | Over 2.5 68.4% | 41% | - |
Congo DR* Sierra Leone Nov 11, 6:00 PM |
Home 61.6%Draw 24.6%Away 13.9% |
1 | 2-1 | 3.19 | Over 2.5 61.4% | 56% | - |
Comoros* Congo Nov 11, 6:00 PM |
Home 66.7%Draw 21.9%Away 11.4% |
1 | 2-1 | 3.42 | Over 2.5 65.8% | 56% | - |
Cape Verde* Liberia Nov 11, 6:00 PM |
Home 48.0%Draw 30.3%Away 21.8% |
1 | 2-1 | 2.76 | Over 1.5 78.5% | 56% | - |
Cameroon* Namibia Nov 11, 6:00 PM |
Home 70.1%Draw 20.1%Away 9.7% |
1 | 2-1 | 3.55 | Over 2.5 68.2% | 55% | - |
Burkina Faso* Mauritania Nov 11, 6:00 PM |
Home 67.5%Draw 21.6%Away 10.8% |
1 | 2-1 | 3.40 | Over 2.5 65.4% | 55% | - |
Benin* Central African Republic Nov 11, 6:00 PM |
Home 80.3%Draw 15.1%Away 4.6% |
1 | 3-0 | 3.61 | Over 2.5 68.7% | 42% | - |
Angola* South Sudan Nov 11, 6:00 PM |
Home 53.5%Draw 31.1%Away 15.4% |
1 | 2-0 | 2.38 | Over 1.5 70.9% | 44% | - |
Algeria* Togo Nov 11, 6:00 PM |
Home 86.8%Draw 9.0%Away 4.2% |
1 | 4-1 | 5.83 | Over 2.5 91.2% | 65% | - |
| Home team Away team | 1X2 Probability | Pred | Correct Score | Avg. Goals | Goals | BTTS | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Angola* Malawi Oct 6, 8:00 PM |
Home 72.5%Draw 19.8%Away 7.7% |
1 | 2-0 | 2.64 | Over 1.5 74.5% | 38% | 3-1 |
Guinea* Kenya Oct 1, 5:00 PM |
Home 57.7%Draw 22.6%Away 19.7% |
1 | 2-1 | 3.28 | Over 2.5 63.4% | 62% | 1-0 |
Eritrea* South Africa Sep 30, 5:00 PM |
Home 27.8%Draw 28.4%Away 43.8% |
2 | 0-1 | 2.60 | Over 1.5 74.6% | 53% | 0-5 |
Gabon* Niger Sep 29, 8:00 PM |
Home 35.6%Draw 31.2%Away 33.2% |
1 | 1-0 | 2.27 | Over 1.5 67.7% | 48% | 2-0 |
Somalia* Ivory Coast Sep 29, 8:00 PM |
Home 36.4%Draw 35.7%Away 27.8% |
1 | 1-0 | 1.77 | Under 2.5 73.8% | 36% | 0-2 |
Congo* Cameroon Sep 29, 8:00 PM |
Home 28.8%Draw 46.2%Away 25.0% |
X | 0-0 | 1.10 | Under 2.5 90.1% | 19% | 1-1 |
Liberia* Mali Sep 29, 8:00 PM |
Home 14.6%Draw 38.6%Away 46.9% |
2 | 0-1 | 1.36 | Under 2.5 84.1% | 22% | 0-1 |
Benin* Mauritania Sep 29, 6:00 PM |
Home 68.8%Draw 22.2%Away 9.0% |
1 | 2-0 | 2.44 | Over 1.5 70.8% | 37% | 2-1 |
| Team | Prob.% | Pred | Score | O/U | BTTS | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angola*MalawiOct 6, 8:00 PM | 728 |
1 | 2-0 | Over 1.5 | 38% | 3-1 |
| Guinea*KenyaOct 1, 5:00 PM | 5820 |
1 | 2-1 | Over 2.5 | 62% | 1-0 |
| Eritrea*South AfricaSep 30, 5:00 PM | 2844 |
2 | 0-1 | Over 1.5 | 53% | 0-5 |
| Gabon*NigerSep 29, 8:00 PM | 3633 |
1 | 1-0 | Over 1.5 | 48% | 2-0 |
| Somalia*Ivory CoastSep 29, 8:00 PM | 3628 |
1 | 1-0 | Under 2.5 | 36% | 0-2 |
| Congo*CameroonSep 29, 8:00 PM | 2925 |
X | 0-0 | Under 2.5 | 19% | 1-1 |
| Liberia*MaliSep 29, 8:00 PM | 1547 |
2 | 0-1 | Under 2.5 | 22% | 0-1 |
| Benin*MauritaniaSep 29, 6:00 PM | 699 |
1 | 2-0 | Over 1.5 | 37% | 2-1 |
The Africa Cup of Nations is Africa's main national-team tournament, organised by CAF. This page also covers the AFCON qualifiers.
How we predict AFCON matches
Every AFCON prediction on this page comes from a Poisson model, not guesswork. For each team we measure goals scored and conceded at home and away, compare them with the league's averages to get attack and defence strengths, and turn those into expected goals for the specific fixture. The Poisson formula then gives the probability of every realistic scoreline, which is where the home/draw/away percentages, over/under goals, both teams to score and the most likely correct score come from. The full method is explained on our methodology page.
Our AFCON record so far
We grade every prediction against the real result. Across the 48 AFCON matches we have predicted and graded so far:
- Our home/draw/away pick was right in 73% of 48 matches.
- Our over/under goals pick was right in 60% of 48 matches.
- Our both teams to score pick was right in 38% of 48 matches.
AFCON goal trends
In those 48 matches there were 2.65 goals per game on average. 48% went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in 54%. The home side won 54%, 21% were draws and the away side won 25%.
Questions
Are these AFCON predictions free?
Yes. Every prediction on the site is free to read, with no sign-up.
How often are the AFCON predictions updated?
Several times a day. New fixtures are added as they are scheduled, and every result is graded once the match is played.
Can I rely on them for betting?
They are honest statistical probabilities, not guarantees. Football is unpredictable, so treat them as informed context, and never stake more than you can afford to lose.